“Over £200 billion worth of assets are at risk around British rivers and coasts and those risks are likely to increase over the next 100 years due to changes in climate and in society.”
- Sir David King, Government Chief Scientific Adviser
This book presents a comprehensive insight into the flooding system, spanning multiple disciplines across different sectors of the flood and flood management professions. It forecasts the manner in which flooding and coastal erosion risks may increase during the 21st century due to climate change and socio-economic development in the UK and presents an examination of the integrated measures necessary to manage future increases in risk, through sustainable methods.
It summarises the previously unpublished science and engineering behind the Foresight Project of Flood and Coastal Defence performed on behalf of the Office of Science and Technology (now the Office of Science and Innovation) and reveals the methodological basis for the study as well as its outcomes.
A qualitative assessment of the drivers of flood and coastal erosion risks under various scenarios are presented, with quantitative analysis outlined to demonstrate the efficacy of national databases and the Risk Assessment for Strategic Planning (RASP) tool. The findings in this book demonstrate that to manage future flood and coastal erosion risks sustainably, a portfolio of integrated measures is required. As many of the measures require long lead-times to become effective, the concluding advice is that the time to act is now.
It provides academics, professionals and decision makers with the science base for envisaging and, in due course, achieving detailed guidance on sustainable flood and coastal risk management in the UK during the 21st century.
Colin Thorne, BSc, PhD
Colin Thorne is Professor and Chair of Physical Geography at the University of Nottingham. He holds a BSc and PhD in Environmental Sciences and has worked in the UK and abroad. Prior to his current position, he was the Head of Department for Geography and Dean of the Faculty of Law and Social Sciences. He currently holds visiting Professorships at Colorado State and Nanjing Universities, is a member of the American Geophysical Union and the British Geomorphological Research Group, and is an Affiliate Member of the American Society of Civil Engineers.
Edward Evans, MA
Edward Evans is a Physics graduate from Oxford and held a NATO Fellowship at Delft where he studied computational hydraulics. He is a Fellow of the Institution of Civil Engineers, an Honorary Professor at Glasgow University and Special Professor at Nottingham University. He was formerly Head of Halcrow Group Ltd’s Water Resources Department, and is the originator of the ISIS suite of river modelling programs which are widely used in the UK and all over the world. He was Lead Technical Advisor and work coordinator for the OST Foresight Future Flooding project. He is advisor to the joint Defra/EA Flood and Coastal Defence research programme in flood risk management; and an Expert Advisor for the Thames Estuary 2100 studies and chairman of their Modelling Advisory Group.
Edmund Penning-Rowsell, MA, PhD, OBE
Edmund Penning-Rowsell is currently Pro Vice-Chancellor for Research at Middlesex University, and Head of the Flood Hazard Research Centre which was cited in 2006 as one of the Eureka100 most significant UK university projects of the last 50 years. He is a Geographer with BSc and PhD degrees from University College London and more than 30 years experience of analysing floods and investment in flood alleviation, river management, water planning, and landscape assessment worldwide. He has published over 50 papers in the field, and is a Fellow of the Royal Geographical Society, a member of the Advisory Board for the joint Defra/EA Flood and Coastal Defence research programme in flood risk management, and an Expert Advisor for the Thames Estuary 2100 studies.
- Contents include
- Drivers of flood risk
- Assessment of flood risk drivers
- Coastal erosion drivers and risks
- Responses to future flood risks
- Assessment of flood risk responses
- Responses to coastal erosion
- Sustainability and governance